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Movie is created, but not marketed. The whole tax break thing is way over blown. It changes the numbers slightly, but doesn’t help them come out ahead of never
by SkyPuncher 3y ago
Movie is created, but not marketed. The whole tax break thing is way over blown. It changes the numbers slightly, but doesn’t help them come out ahead of never having made this.
Using made up (but plausible numbers):
Movie costs $100m to make. Plus $100m to market. You predict it will only make $120m.
You haven’t spent that marketing money yet, so you have two options:
* Throw the movie out, with the $100m it cost to make. A percentage of that reduces your taxable income by making you have less profit from your good movies. You loose $80m.
* You take it to market. You have to do at least some sort of marketing, otherwise it will be a complete flop. You blow another $100m. Make $120m. You still loose $80m, but you tied up your capital for months and risked loosing it all if this actually went bust.
Therefore, you choose option 1. It cuts the losses and allows you to immediately start on something else.
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People love to throw around write offs like companies somehow make a profit off of a loss. In reality, a write off is only partially reducing a loss. It’s still a loss.
- tim333 3y agoI think your math is a bit off. Assume a 20% tax rate: Option 1. Write off $100m. Get 20m off the tax. Net loss $80m Option 2. Market it. Costs 100m+100m. Income 120m. Pretax loss 80m. Get 16m off the tax. Net loss $64m. So they'd be better off showing it. Apart maybe for the timing of cashflows.
- BoiledCabbage 3y agoYou left out the case where Netflix, Amazon and Paramount offer maybe $40m to buy it from them and they decline because they'd rather get the tax write off. That's the broken part. "Here's tens of millions of dollars for this project you're about to toss." "No I'd rather destroy it and get paid tens of millions from the govt instead".
- SkyPuncher 3y agoI this case, it doesn't sound broken. It sounds like the offers were less than the tax-savings. The market spoke, they didn't want to pay enough to make it more worthwhile than taking the loss. There's nothing nefarious with that.