3 ms·
Those runways still serve a ton of 737/A320 flights that have plenty of room to be upgauged to widebodies, and most of those runways could increase capacity fur
by brigade 3y ago
Those runways still serve a ton of 737/A320 flights that have plenty of room to be upgauged to widebodies, and most of those runways could increase capacity further still if FAA/ICAO decide newer tech can safely reduce IFR separation.
Even with runway congestion, a big problem with an A380 successor is that any new commercial jet needs the fuel economy of two engines to have a chance of selling enough to be worth developing. Which in turn means that an A380-sized twin engine plane needs engines with ~50% more thrust than the current world record from a GE9X, which is already approaching material limits...
A new 747-like plane with a partial double deck might eventually make business sense to develop within our lifetimes... But I think a blended wing (lol) is more likely than ever seeing another full double decker like the A380.
- bobthepanda 3y agoA380 also ended up having too much dead weight to be useful for freight. We will probably see a double decker if only because the Middle Eastern megahub airlines need it for their business models to work.
- cm2187 3y agoBut intuitively efficiency per passenger should only be the binding metric if you are not capacity constrained. ie it may be economical to fly four-engine planes with nearly twice the number of passengers, than not meeting the demand on a route because it is saturated.