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$7T sounds like a lot of money but reading between the lines seems to be the projected total cost for not just chip design and fab but also infrastructure to su
by bradfa 3y ago
$7T sounds like a lot of money but reading between the lines seems to be the projected total cost for not just chip design and fab but also infrastructure to support such an industry over a bit of time. That seems reasonable to me. It's not like you can easily spend $7T very quickly, so this total value would likely be spent over many years across many different companies/investments in order to grow the entire AI industry. It's hardware, software, facilities, engineers, scientists, power plants, power distribution networks, silicon fabs, etc.
- JohnFen 3y ago> this total value would likely be spent over many years across many different companies/investments in order to grow the entire AI industry. Sure, in total across many companies, ventures and years as part of an ecosystem. But one entity raising the entire sum? That seems ludicrously unrealistic.
- pc86 3y ago> $7T sounds like a lot of money but Sorry you can stop right there.
- kristjansson 3y agoIt's effectively a Manhattan Project for fab capacity. The US spent $1.9b in 1941 dollars on the Manhattan project, which is about $400b today. On that scale, the 'trillions' number is only tenfold, which ... is still outlandish, and can't possibly be managed by a single private entity, but is order-of-magnitude-correct for "we're going to force the development of a civilizationally determinant technology by overwhelming application of capital"