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AGI will make the economy far more efficient, increase the rate of scientific innovation, etc. For example, some ancestor of alphafold could spark a revolution

AGI will make the economy far more efficient, increase the rate of scientific innovation, etc. For example, some ancestor of alphafold could spark a revolution in genetic engineering, creating crops which are far more efficient and resilient, etc.

r3d0c 3y ago
how, be specific & based in objective reality, without VC hype words & cultist like language
gasparto 3y ago
Technology won't save us. Hoping that someday soon^tm someone will come up with something that makes all the current mess go away is a dangerous path. In germany they call it 'Technologieoffen' - and even some political parties have written it on their flags. 'No need to implement changes now - someday God will decent and absolve us from all of our sins - until then party hard! #yolo' I'm all for accelerating research/tech. But it can't be an excuse to just let sh*t happen. Yet most people will do this - it's expected human behavior.
- hackerlight 3y ago
  I want to accelerate good stuff (fusion, mRNA cancer vaccines, solar power learning curve, LLMs that help programmers be more productive, housing construction) and decel bad stuff (proof-of-work crypto, deepfakes, new coal mines, microplastics). If we accel/decel the right things, I think we have a shot.
- 52-6F-62 3y ago
  Well put.
- ted_bunny 3y ago
  We're more likely to get Deus Ex than a Deus Ex Machina
_Algernon_ 3y ago
The difficult and limiting part of scienctific work isn't coming up with ideas (which is, at best, all a glorified Montecarlo chain autocorrect can do) but actually designing and performing good experiments. Add to that the amount of junk papers that will be generated and published - through which all future scientists will have to sift - and AI in it's current form is much more likely to be a concrete block dragging scientific progress down.
exe34 3y ago
I believe that AGI is capable of all of this. Eventually. If it doesn't kill us at that point. If we don't get enslaved by the corporations who control AGI first. Expecting it to happen just in time to save us from ourselves? That sounds more like religious belief to me. We're burning down the garden in the hope we will find a yellow brick road under the ashes.
lm28469 3y ago
Either that or the second coming of jesus, I give it 50/50 given the available data

r3d0c 3y ago

how, be specific & based in objective reality, without VC hype words & cultist like language

gasparto 3y ago

Technology won't save us. Hoping that someday soon^tm someone will come up with something that makes all the current mess go away is a dangerous path. In germany they call it 'Technologieoffen' - and even some political parties have written it on their flags. 'No need to implement changes now - someday God will decent and absolve us from all of our sins - until then party hard! #yolo' I'm all for accelerating research/tech. But it can't be an excuse to just let sh*t happen. Yet most people will do this - it's expected human behavior.

hackerlight 3y ago
I want to accelerate good stuff (fusion, mRNA cancer vaccines, solar power learning curve, LLMs that help programmers be more productive, housing construction) and decel bad stuff (proof-of-work crypto, deepfakes, new coal mines, microplastics). If we accel/decel the right things, I think we have a shot.
52-6F-62 3y ago
Well put.
ted_bunny 3y ago
We're more likely to get Deus Ex than a Deus Ex Machina

_Algernon_ 3y ago

The difficult and limiting part of scienctific work isn't coming up with ideas (which is, at best, all a glorified Montecarlo chain autocorrect can do) but actually designing and performing good experiments. Add to that the amount of junk papers that will be generated and published - through which all future scientists will have to sift - and AI in it's current form is much more likely to be a concrete block dragging scientific progress down.

exe34 3y ago

I believe that AGI is capable of all of this. Eventually. If it doesn't kill us at that point. If we don't get enslaved by the corporations who control AGI first. Expecting it to happen just in time to save us from ourselves? That sounds more like religious belief to me. We're burning down the garden in the hope we will find a yellow brick road under the ashes.

lm28469 3y ago

Either that or the second coming of jesus, I give it 50/50 given the available data