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I always take predictions like "no one will be using SMS in 10 years" with a grain of salt. Time has shown that experts are basically clueless when it comes to
by tg3 14y ago
I always take predictions like "no one will be using SMS in 10 years" with a grain of salt. Time has shown that experts are basically clueless when it comes to predicting that far in the future.
10 years from now, no one knows what we'll be doing, or if the mobile phone will even be an existing paradigm. What you did know at the time is that you were able to convince 300 people that it was useful, today.
I think if you can build something that is valuable to people today, you give yourself the opportunity to figure out what will be valuable to people tomorrow.
Yes, it's true that you should "skate where the puck's going, not where it's been," but if you have an open slapshot, take it.
- wizzard 14y agoYes, what a boneheaded argument. Even if the prediction was true, there's a lot of money to be made in 10 years. Should we stop buying new cars because there will be hovercars in 2022? Those judges are going to be holding their breath for a long time, waiting for that glorious day.
- Tichy 14y agoThey could start gaining SMS users now and in ten years those same users could be subscribed to Google Talk mailing lists through their system or whatever.
- malandrew 14y agoI predict we will still be using SMS in 10 years. While we're at it, email too will be used in 10 years. Both may have evolved by then, but they'll still be the same underlying service. Never underestimate the impact of resolve of companies invested in technology to support that technology ad infinitum ad absurdam.