I think it’s important to remember that the future isn’t known to us. People will fixate on one scenario or another, forgetting that there are others. Our abili

I think it’s important to remember that the future isn’t known to us. People will fixate on one scenario or another, forgetting that there are others. Our ability to forecast is limited. Studying the recent past or the deep past gives us some perspective on how things have changed before. Making analogies might help us think of more scenarios, but it’s not so good for ruling things out.