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> Just about every category in your chart shows a reversal from a downward trend before 2019 into an upward trend from 2019 onward Literally every category in
by ajross 3y ago
> Just about every category in your chart shows a reversal from a downward trend before 2019 into an upward trend from 2019 onward
Literally every category in that chart shows a reduction in crime over the last year. You're inventing a "trend" by extrapolating a line straight across an outlier (the covid pandemic). No one would look at that data and say crime is getting worse. You'd say crime got worse and is now back at baseline.
- ilikehurdles 3y agoWhat does the sentence after the one you quoted say? I forgot. A line graph showing a precipitous drop in the most recent time bucket available is a red flag that you shouldn’t trust that data point.
- ajross 3y agoWhy? It's not a real time measurement, they're just adding up the crimes from the 2023 data. Do you expect the 2023 numbers to be revised? Was that true for earlier years? Seems unlikely.