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Very interesting, have you attempted to backtest to see if the LLM forecasts are accurate?
by cedws 3y ago
Very interesting, have you attempted to backtest to see if the LLM forecasts are accurate?
- cl42 3y agoThanks for asking! Not yet as I’ve been focusing on building agents that can properly and regularly log predictions. Ideally, I’d like the agents to then participate in prediction markets or “superforecasting” groups to use actual human predictions as baselines.
- cedws 3y agoIf your project makes you rich and you need some engineering help, call me ;)