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In the EU current short-term trends don't matter that much as long as the scheduled fleet emmision rules will come into force as is the current regulation. Tha
by tpm 3y ago
In the EU current short-term trends don't matter that much as long as the scheduled fleet emmision rules will come into force as is the current regulation.
That means from 1.1.2025, for passenger cars 93,6 g CO2/km average (which is impossible with ICE-only cars of current sizes and technology) and the manufacturer pays a fine for anything above that. But that can be relaxed if they sell at least 25% EVs (0 g CO2/km), and higher percentage of those means higher permissible average emmisions. So the manufacturers will be highly motivated to sell more EVs and we can expect all the big manufacturers will hit the 25% quite soon.
Then from 1.1.2030 this goes down to 49,5 g CO2/km and at that point ICEs are goint to be increasingly niche. From 1.1.2035 the limit is 0 g CO2/km.
- adrianN 3y agoIt's pretty easy to achieve fleet goals with plugin hybrids, since they have ridiculously low emissions on the standard tests (unlike in reality).
- tpm 3y agoWhich is why new vehicles (since 2021) have a On-Board Fuel Consumption Meter and this data is then collected by the EU.
- adrianN 3y agoOh I didn’t know that. Does the eu do something with the data? Is it just collected to inform some hypothetical future law? In the latter case that will likely be overtaken by the market favoring BEVs
- tpm 3y agoThere is not a lot of info about that, but as far as I could gather the data started to be collected only last year, so probably not a lot right now.