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> […] ability to become multiplanetary and survive great filters is limited. So, the known quantities that term refers to tend to be steps more like planetary
by Intralexical 3y ago
> […] ability to become multiplanetary and survive great filters is limited.
So, the known quantities that term refers to tend to be steps more like planetary habitability and abiogenesis, which might prevent complex life from getting established in the first place. But it sounds like you mean some kind of cataclysmic event which wipes out an already existing industrialized civilization.
What, specifically, are the "Great Filter" scenarios which being multiplanetary is actually supposed to help with?
Supernovas? GRBs? Simple asteroid impacts? You can usually see those coming from millions of years in advance. And surely building a couple layers of solar sail material to shield the planet, stockpiling ozone generators to repair the damage quickly, gently nudging the asteroid, or simply digging some holes/eating a gas giant and weathering the storm, would be easier and save vastly more people than establishing a sizable population in another star system.
The other "Great Filter" idea which seems to be memetically adapted for proliferating in modern discourse is the idea of a locust-like swarm of technologically advanced aliens that kill any industrial civilizations which do emerge. But in that case, presumably settling multiple star systems is the opposite of what you'd want to do; You'd be better off quieting your emissions to shrink your footprint than spreading even more biomarkers around at high blueshift.
Frankly, I think this entire idea of needing to "become multiplanetary and survive great filters" is more mainstreamed now largely due to one specific individual fancying himself a savior of humanity. SpaceX builds interesting machines, but I liked it better when it was people like Sagan, Aldrin, and Zubrin getting excited about Mars.
But even then, I'm not sure if the idea of colonizing more planets in order to survive planet-scale catastrophes really jives with how people think— Plenty of us already live within splash radius of the Pacific Ring of Fire, Yellowstone Caldera, tornadoes, tropical cyclones, land below sea level… and yet there's no billion-dollar emergency backup cities in Antarctica to "make San Francisco into a multicontinental city and survive great quakings".
- ikari_pl 3y ago> surely building a couple layers of solar sail material to shield the planet, stockpiling ozone generators to repair the damage quickly, gently nudging the asteroid, or simply digging some holes/eating a gas giant and weathering the storm, would be easier The assumption is that we have a problem getting anything off the planet. All these would require some good rocket engineering. I agree with everything else here a lot.