I had the same question but the interpretation they're considering is whether the next ball you draw will be more likely to be red than the red ball you drew wa

I had the same question but the interpretation they're considering is whether the next ball you draw will be more likely to be red than the red ball you drew was likely to be red before you drew it but after the total number of red balls was already determined. Like: you have a box with a whole bunch of red and green balls. Would removing a red ball increase or decrease the likelihood of drawing a red ball from the box in the future? I wouldn't buy that as a reasonable misinterpretation of the question in most cases, but I don't know what standard of analysis holds for Twitter polls. I think it's a matter of knowing that the phrase "where n is chosen uniformly at random" means something very different in a probability question than "where n is an arbitrary value".