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How is "more likely"I'll defined? They are two options red or green. Are you more likely to draw red or are you more likely to draw green.. how is it poorly wor

• danielmarkbruce 3y ago
  Because it could be more likely red than green, or more likely red than it was likely that the first choice was red (which is where some people got confused, they thought the question was asking about the relative chances of red on the first choice v second choice), more likely green than the first one was likely to be green(same basic problem).
• bo1024 3y ago
  My first interpretation of "more likely" was also "more likely than the previous ball". It makes more sense in the context of the previous sentence. For example: > The first time you shoot a basketball, you will almost certainly miss. The second time, you are more likely to make it. Does the second sentence mean "more likely to make it than to miss"? No.
  • danielmarkbruce 3y ago
    Great example.