3 ms·
That question is quite a bit of handholding. A closer analogue would be “would you bet the next ball is red / green / they’re equally likely?”. Personally I’d
by travisjungroth 3y ago
That question is quite a bit of handholding. A closer analogue would be “would you bet the next ball is red / green / they’re equally likely?”.
Personally I’d word it as “The next ball is… more likely to be red than green / more likely to be green than red / equally likely to be red or green / I don’t know.”
- chrismcb 3y agoBut isn't that exactly how it is worded? Just showing it a bit?
- travisjungroth 3y agoNot quite. People are arguing that “more likely to be red” can be interpreted as “more likely to be red than it was last time”. I guess you could do that with this wording, but that seems like quite a stretch.