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It’s not Monty Hall. Monty Hall does not open doors randomly. To think about this problem right you need to acknowledge that it could have gone the other way wi
by jncfhnb 3y ago
It’s not Monty Hall. Monty Hall does not open doors randomly. To think about this problem right you need to acknowledge that it could have gone the other way with some probability but it didn’t, and so that tells you something more about the state of things.
If monty opens doors randomly, and shows you a goat, you do not benefit from switching. Edit: assuming he doesn’t open your door of course
- drewcoo 3y agoThis is not about Monty Hall or his doors. ROT13: Gur zber erqf, gur zber yvxryl lbhe svefg chyy vf erq. No one is making changes based on your actions, like Monty did.
- jncfhnb 3y agoThat is… what I said
- eigenvalue 3y agoYes, you're right-- I mispoke in that I meant that they were both examples of getting information that should revise your world view, not that they were exact analogues.