3 ms·
> I would assume 90% dudes with strong conservative leanings So that would be a good place to make money, and ultimately make these markets better at predictin
by yodsanklai 3y ago
> I would assume 90% dudes with strong conservative leanings
So that would be a good place to make money, and ultimately make these markets better at predicting.
- lkbm 3y agoThis is something a number of people do on PredictIt, since that one does have a conservative lean. It takes a lot more than the individual limit to fully price correct, though. I personally haven't maxed out on it (I think the limit is $800), but I've got a few hundred bet that Biden will be the Dem nominee / that Newsome won't be. Not sure why we don't have more people picking up the free money, but given that I haven't picked up a much as I possibly can, I'm not one to criticize.
- pragmar 3y agoI remember Nate Silver speaking of the golden age of online poker, when amateurs were the dominant audience, and a decent (non-pro) strategy player could make a living. Word got out, and just like that, it was over.
- zzzeek 3y agosure, and thanks for agreeing with my premise! but liberals are not really into stupid gambling games, so this "market" is inherently stocked with a limited supply of mindshare
- polytropos2 3y agomindshare on this site would probably vastly expand after you delete your account