3 ms·
Someone should make a tool to invest against the prediction markets overconfidence without considering the specific predictions
by jncfhnb 3y ago
Someone should make a tool to invest against the prediction markets overconfidence without considering the specific predictions
- Powdering7082 3y agoCould you give a specific example?
- jncfhnb 3y agoDo an analysis of odds vs. outcomes to get a sense of typical calibration errors based on characteristics (eg political) and the odds given. Identify areas of likely incorrect spreads, and invest against them.