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Your link fails to establish that. The main problem with animal behavior surveys is that they tend to report good results when you start with a known earthquake
by jcranmer 3y ago
Your link fails to establish that. The main problem with animal behavior surveys is that they tend to report good results when you start with a known earthquake, and then look backwards to find unusual animal behavior before the earthquake. If you instead try to define objective criteria on animal behavior and then use that as a signal to predict earthquakes, the quality of animal behavior as a predictor turns to crap. In a nutshell, unusual animal behavior precedes most earthquakes... and many more events that turn out not to be earthquakes!
- lxgr 3y agoThat's a fair point; a detector that reliably detects impeding once-in-a-century strong earthquakes as well as every wolf or bear wandering too close to some herd of goats is probably not that useful.
- objektif 3y agoYou speak of general animal behavior but Where are you basing this on? Is there a study you can link to related to the topic in discussion?