4 ms·
No, that's a myth.
by deepsun 3y ago
No, that's a myth.
- lxgr 3y agoGroups of some animals can predict seismic activity at a rate better than random chance: https://www.icarus.mpg.de/11706/a-four-legged-early-warning-system https://www.icarus.mpg.de/11706/a-four-legged-early-warning-...
- jcranmer 3y agoYour link fails to establish that. The main problem with animal behavior surveys is that they tend to report good results when you start with a known earthquake, and then look backwards to find unusual animal behavior before the earthquake. If you instead try to define objective criteria on animal behavior and then use that as a signal to predict earthquakes, the quality of animal behavior as a predictor turns to crap. In a nutshell, unusual animal behavior precedes most earthquakes... and many more events that turn out not to be earthquakes!
- lxgr 3y agoThat's a fair point; a detector that reliably detects impeding once-in-a-century strong earthquakes as well as every wolf or bear wandering too close to some herd of goats is probably not that useful.
- objektif 3y agoYou speak of general animal behavior but Where are you basing this on? Is there a study you can link to related to the topic in discussion?