2 ms·
It's not frustrating. Your priors for the odds that aliens have visited earth should be extremely low, and the odds of cranks existing fairly high. Given that,
by zeroCalories 3y ago
It's not frustrating. Your priors for the odds that aliens have visited earth should be extremely low, and the odds of cranks existing fairly high. Given that, it's not 50/50 cranks/coverup. Intuitively you know it's a tiny probability.