3 ms·
> We are far from AGI Do you mind expanding on this? What do you see as the biggest things that make that milestone > 5 years away? Not trolling, just genuine
by q7xvh97o2pDhNrh 3y ago
> We are far from AGI
Do you mind expanding on this? What do you see as the biggest things that make that milestone > 5 years away?
Not trolling, just genuinely curious -- I'm a distributed systems engineer (read: dinosaur) who's been stuck in a dead-end job without much time to learn about all this new AI stuff. From a distance, it really looks like a time of rapid and compounding growth curves.
Relatedly, it also does look -- again, naively and from a distance -- like an "AI is going to eat the world" moment, in the sense that current AI systems seem good enough to apply to a whole host of use cases. It seems like there's money sitting around just waiting to be picked up in all different industries by startups who'll train domain-specific models using current AI technologies.
- a_wild_dandan 3y agoIntelligence lies on a spectrum. So does skill generality. Ergo, AGI is already here. Online discussions conflate AGI with ASI -- artificial superhuman intelligence, i.e. sci-fi agents capable of utopian/dystopian world domination. When misused this way, AGI becomes a crude binary which hasn't arrived. With this unearned latitude, people subsequently make meaningless predictions about when silicon deities will manifest. Six months, five years, two decades, etc. In reality, your gut reaction is correct. We have turned general intelligence into a commodity. Any aspect of any situation, process, system, domain, etc. which was formerly starved of intelligence may now be supplied with it. The value unlock here is unspeakable. The possibilities are so vast that many of us fill with anxiety at the thought.