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There are 100,000 high schools in the US. The NBA drafts 60 new players per year. Chance of being drafted in any year is 60/100000 = 0.06%. IOW once every 166
by HarHarVeryFunny 3y ago
There are 100,000 high schools in the US.
The NBA drafts 60 new players per year.
Chance of being drafted in any year is 60/100000 = 0.06%. IOW once every 1666 years the best player in your high school team may be drafted.
If you're, say, top-10 in your state, then your chance is way better. Once every ~10 years a kid in top-10 might expect to be drafted (60/500).
What am I missing ?!
- Lukeas14 3y agoThe chances stat is missing that NBA draft picks are not evenly distributed between high schools. Some high schools don't have a basketball team, most don't have teams good enough to produce NBA talent and a few have great basketball programs which will attract the best talent and produce more NBA players (ex. Oak Hill Academy has sent 33 players to the league).
- HarHarVeryFunny 3y agoFair enough, but then the title is a bit misleading - being a high school star in of itself doesn't give you more than a dream of making the NBA. Being a star at one of the few schools with a great track record for producing draft picks is a different story!