Just because something ended up being right doesn't mean it was intelligent. Things don't work in absolute, most things are a bet. If one outcome is 99% likely

Just because something ended up being right doesn't mean it was intelligent. Things don't work in absolute, most things are a bet. If one outcome is 99% likely and the other 1%, the intelligent thing is choosing the 99% likelihood, but that still means that sometimes the person making the bad choice was right. That doesn't make them intelligent, it makes them lucky.