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Hmm. When the first basic black powder rockets were invented, would it have been unreasonable for someone to think that they could one day reach the moon? Of co
by anon84873628 3y ago
Hmm. When the first basic black powder rockets were invented, would it have been unreasonable for someone to think that they could one day reach the moon? Of course there would be many uncertainties -- including what the moon even was. No one could say what technology would be required. But clearly there was a major paradigm shift that suddenly made it within the realm of consideration.
- dullcrisp 3y agoI imagine it might have been unreasonable to suppose that, yes. The fact that the future is unpredictable doesn’t mean that all claims about the future are a priori equally valid. In the future where AGI takes over the world next year I might look silly for arguing with you about it, but that’s a risk I accept based on the fact that I don’t think that’s going to happen.