The idea of future breakthroughs assumes that the problem is conveniently human-sized. That it's possible to build an organization that's not too large be dysfu

The idea of future breakthroughs assumes that the problem is conveniently human-sized. That it's possible to build an organization that's not too large be dysfunctional and populate it with experts. And that the experts will find the solution before dying of old age or before the organization degenerates into something else. It could be that the solution exists, but it's too large and too complex for humans and human organizations. Technological singularity is a popular trope in speculative discussions about AI. But the reality could also be the opposite. It could be that productivity will increase asymptotically slower than the effort required to achieve further increases in productivity.