3 ms·
Is there an indication it won't be?
by p1esk 3y ago
Is there an indication it won't be?
- badpun 3y agoWe simply don't know what it will be. Growth in nature does not continue at the same pace forever, and eventually the speed of innovation will taper off. It's a common phenomena, described with an S-curve: (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function). We can't know if LLMs are already there, or not yet, we'll only know after the fact.
- p1esk 3y agoOK, so it is reasonable to assume that the chance the progress will continue in the next two years is about 50%, would you agree? If so, why are people in this thread dismiss my concerns as unreasonable?