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My grandparents barely ever figured out how to use a computer enough to use e-mail, despite email being quite popular for the last 25 years of their lives. It w
by reaperman 3y ago
My grandparents barely ever figured out how to use a computer enough to use e-mail, despite email being quite popular for the last 25 years of their lives. It was always hit-or-miss whether they'd be able to open up the email client.
I wouldn't use people who are 50+ as bellwethers to determine if something is a bubble vs. a new paradigm.
LLM's will absolutely be the next transformative "interface" that we use to interact with our computing devices. They're just too powerful to ignore. Even the current generation would be amazing for my MacBook. Recently I had an issue at work where I took a new job that uses MacBooks instead of Windows and couldn't get Slack notifications to pop up reliably. I swore all my notification settings were correct both in the app and in system settings. Turns out that my laptop had "Do Not Disturb" mode on due to seeing that my work phone had it on. If Siri had a robust LLM that could connect to system and app settings via API, a high-quality LLM like ChatGPT absolutely would have automatically figured it out and been able to both tell me why the notifications weren't popping up and ask me if I'd like it to go ahead and fix the settings for me.
LLM's will simplify complex computing systems for so many users. Yes, it will suck for tons of systems which implement it poorly or aren't conducive to speech/textual communication. But that's mostly a "skill-issue" for development teams implementing LLM's in apps/OS's, not a fundamental issue with the technology itself.
LLM's may be approaching a temporary bubble, but we won't be in that "bubble" until after Windows, Mac, and Android build them in as first-class interfaces for one option for primary interaction with your devices.
We already have touch GUI, mouse+keyboard GUI, and CLI interfaces, but will now get typing/speech-based LLM interfaces as a new paradigm.
- panarky 3y agoNon-technical people overwhelmingly buy Windows PCs. Windows PCs don't come with Chrome or Firefox or Brave. Non-technical people use the default IE preset to Bing. Windows makes it a pain for non-technical people to switch browsers or search engines. Even on a slanted playing field, Bing relevance is so bad that even non-technical people manage to climb over the hurdles Microsoft places in front of them to escape their defaults.
- CamperBob2 3y agoNon-technical people don't buy PCs at all anymore. If they buy any type of computer at all, it's a Mac.
- tourmalinetaco 3y agoNon-technical people don’t buy desktops, you mean. Laptops are still a hot commodity, one in which Apple doesn’t even reach 4th place. https://fortunly.com/articles/lap-top-market-share/ https://fortunly.com/articles/lap-top-market-share/
- ffgjgf1 3y agoThat’s global which is hardly relevant because for most people outside of highly developed countries MacBooks are prohibitively expensive so aren’t even an option. Apple seems to be at 28% in the US (a few percent below HP and above Dell). I’d guess that if we removed corporate sales it would be considerably higher.
- tourmalinetaco 3y ago> That’s global which is hardly relevant I‘m sorry, I was not aware there were arbitrary restraints on the subject. Given that no one specified any country before it became disadvantageous to Apple‘s market share. I am more than happy to discuss the USofA‘s side of things. > I’d guess that if we removed corporate sales it would be considerably higher. I highly doubt removing corporate sales would be an appreciable benefit to Apple. If anything it may be a detriment. Consumers in the US (and globally) cannot afford nor do they prefer Macbooks. Just because they are common in Silicon Valley does not mean they are common elsewhere. Additionally, what is your data source? For US-focused statistics I have found this[0], which is quoting Statistica, which says Apple is a firm 3rd at 24%, 3% below Dell and a whopping 11% below HP. However it is from 2021, so more recent statistics are always a benefit. [0] - https://techaeris.com/2021/11/08/the-most-popular-laptop-brand-in-the-u-s-surprised-us/ https://techaeris.com/2021/11/08/the-most-popular-laptop-bra...
- 3y ago