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We can't; at least not before shit goes down. Even people in the National Security Council with access to all the latest intelligence can't answer that question
by throwup238 3y ago
We can't; at least not before shit goes down. Even people in the National Security Council with access to all the latest intelligence can't answer that question with any certainty. Hell they might just be as clueless as we are, depending on how much effort they've put into obtaining intelligence on North Korea. There's no guarantee that the people working on it are there because of merit or of nepotism.
As lay people, we don't stand a chance and any armchair bloviating is purely for our own entertainment to help cope with our powerlessness. If the past few years have taught me anything, it's that anything can happen. Just believe whatever narrative helps you sleep at night and you'll be alright.
- me_me_me 3y agoyou are largely talking about pundits on tv stating russia will not attack. While basically everyone else remotely connected to the topic were convinced russia is prepig for a war. You dont build fobs supply dumps and move massive amounts of equipment to 'scare' neighbour. That being said, russia's 3day operation has probably a lot of dictators and would be conquerors thinking. A modern war is not that easy and can quickly lead to a massive resource drain. Russia attack a weaker neighbour from 3 directions. It had technological, logistical, economical, manpower and first strike advantage. And yet here we are. That is definitely something even delusional dictator will consider.
- truculent 3y agoWell, we more or less agree up to the last sentence, I suppose