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> It’s perhaps analogous to “cars will remove the need to lots of jobs” back in 1886. Exactly. Prior to ~1920, horses had lots of jobs. After that, not so much

> It’s perhaps analogous to “cars will remove the need to lots of jobs” back in 1886. Exactly. Prior to ~1920, horses had lots of jobs. After that, not so much: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Terance-Rephann/publication/254456029/figure/fig1/AS:669531542417420@1536640167843/United-States-Farm-based-Horse-Population-1850-2007.png https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Terance-Rephann/publica... (of those that do have jobs now, most are employed on a nonprofit basis for companionship and/or pasture decoration)

kaskakokos 3y ago
This time it is not the horses that will be eliminated, but the horsemen. Moravec's paradox [1] explains that AI can perform the "complex" processes and cannot execute the "simple" processes of children. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox
- 082349872349872 3y ago
  Maybe if we were to re-employ horses in the economy we just need horse/AI centaurs (with waldos[0] based on lip/tongue manipulation)? They've got plenty of sensorimotor and perception skills (consistent with more cerebellum); just a little low on natural reasoning ability (or for that matter, any prefrontal cortex). y recognizing a face y moving around in space y judging people's motivations n catching a ball[1] y recognizing a voice n setting appropriate goals y paying attention to things that are interesting y perception y attention y visualization y motor skills y social skill[2] [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_manipulator https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_manipulator [1] horses can enjoy matching velocity vectors with a struck ball, but are not into catching as dogs[3] are [2] at least those sufficient for a feudalistic society, anyway... [3] recall: Warren Teitelman eventually gave up on computer DWIM in favour of agility dogs

kaskakokos 3y ago

This time it is not the horses that will be eliminated, but the horsemen. Moravec's paradox [1] explains that AI can perform the "complex" processes and cannot execute the "simple" processes of children. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox

082349872349872 3y ago
Maybe if we were to re-employ horses in the economy we just need horse/AI centaurs (with waldos[0] based on lip/tongue manipulation)? They've got plenty of sensorimotor and perception skills (consistent with more cerebellum); just a little low on natural reasoning ability (or for that matter, any prefrontal cortex). y recognizing a face y moving around in space y judging people's motivations n catching a ball[1] y recognizing a voice n setting appropriate goals y paying attention to things that are interesting y perception y attention y visualization y motor skills y social skill[2] [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_manipulator https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_manipulator [1] horses can enjoy matching velocity vectors with a struck ball, but are not into catching as dogs[3] are [2] at least those sufficient for a feudalistic society, anyway... [3] recall: Warren Teitelman eventually gave up on computer DWIM in favour of agility dogs