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It's Geoffrey Moore's chasm, right on time with respect to market adoption. It's all pragmatist arguments as predicted as well. You can see a similar dip at ap
by kristopolous 3y ago
It's Geoffrey Moore's chasm, right on time with respect to market adoption. It's all pragmatist arguments as predicted as well.
You can see a similar dip at approximately the same point in other EV adoption curves, such as Norway: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/01/norway-electric-vehicle-energy-transport/ https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/01/norway-electric-vehic... ... That green line, we're in the dip right now.
Since the US is such a big market you can't look at it holistically. You have to look at it regionally (the US has 60x more people than Norway):
https://insideevs.com/news/688779/california-tops-us-ev-adoption-25-percent-share-total-sales-h1-2023/amp/ https://insideevs.com/news/688779/california-tops-us-ev-adop...
We're talking about the markets with high pickup rate which have recently seen a downtick.
It's only unexpected if you don't study literature of market adoption behaviors of emerging technologies. This lull absolutely was coming. It always does in behavior-based products, especially those with infrastructure requirements. Here it was in broadband for instance at about the same point in 2004: https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2006/05/28/part-1-broadband-adoption-in-the-united-states/ https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2006/05/28/part-1-broad...