If they are specifically bad in an area, with a very strong reputation, why should we assume that specific reputation would change to match the general reputati

If they are specifically bad in an area, with a very strong reputation, why should we assume that specific reputation would change to match the general reputation? Also, I'm not familiar with any projections that are generally good. Collecting existing data? Sure they are good at that. But projection is an entirely different skill set and I have not ever heard somebody cite great projections from EIA.