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I like that idea. I guess such an amplification effect can lead entire civilizations astray. But still in the long run BS will be ruled out. Here, I disagree wi
by mo_42 3y ago
I like that idea. I guess such an amplification effect can lead entire civilizations astray. But still in the long run BS will be ruled out. Here, I disagree with you in that "truth" is also a matter what works and what not. Simply, BS doesn't work. It makes worse models in the heads of people (and possible artificial agents). Worse models will lead to less effective decisions.
- mrguyorama 3y ago>But still in the long run BS will be ruled out. You espouse this like a rule but it just isn't so. Nazi Germany believed themselves to be the righteous rulers of the earth, descended from Ubermen that never existed, commanding more powerful armies than anything, and were allowed to live that delusion right up until the democratic world forced them to reckon with reality. You can avoid that reckoning for arbitrary lengths of time. It's no different to "the market will remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent". It's the same rule. Reality can be avoided for as long as you want if you don't have infinite ambition.