I think we agree on almost everything about this - which is to say, probably both you and I think the Wolfram Ravenwolf tests are just about useful enough to in

I think we agree on almost everything about this - which is to say, probably both you and I think the Wolfram Ravenwolf tests are just about useful enough to indicate whether or not a model might be worth downloading, but certainly not enough to justify spending money, say, or planning around. So, yes, I'm with you. I agree that better ways to evaluate models would be super super useful, and benchmarks like MMLU and whatever's next will continue to be helpful ("real" science). And, it seems like there may even be some benefits for models to training to 'ace the test' more broadly, which is interesting, and ties to some educational theories in teaching humans. However, one area that open tests can't excel in is in this "fair" evaluation arena -- and I do think that private tests have some value there, to the extent that they can show utility and maintain trust. I don't make any claims about German sex role-play being a good or bad start for these, though.