2 ms·
People are very bad at managing risk. Even with all this, a 737-NG is infinitely safer than getting in a car, and yet people drive every day. Getting into your
by arcticbull 3y ago
People are very bad at managing risk. Even with all this, a 737-NG is infinitely safer than getting in a car, and yet people drive every day. Getting into your sedan is several orders of magnitude riskier than a 737. You're far more likely to die en route to the airport.
Obviously that doesn't excuse Boeing, I'm just saying, by the numbers.
[edit] The US has 1.5 deaths per 100M passenger-miles driven. [1]
The 737 NG has hit 10,000,000 flight hours 5 year into operating. That should be around 500,000,000 miles flown. About 180 seats per plane makes that ~90B seat-miles. That's 0.0038 deaths per 100M seat-miles flown.
So the 737-NG models are about 400X safer per mile than a car.
The median American lives 17mi from an airport, so the safety break-even point is 13,600mi flown on a 737-NG, assuming your destination is also a median 17mi away from the airport. If you're flying less than 13,600mi on a given 737 one-way trip, you're more likely to die getting to and from the airport.
Unless my math is off. This is just napkin math.
[1] https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/historical-fatality-trends/deaths-and-rates/ https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/historical-fatalit...