2 ms·
The issue with statements like this is that the question of how much capacity exactly is needed for this is never really specified in these reports. It's all a
by jillesvangurp 3y ago
The issue with statements like this is that the question of how much capacity exactly is needed for this is never really specified in these reports. It's all a bit hand wavy and unscientific. As soon as you specify a number in gw of capacity needed, the challenge becomes a lot more simple to address.
And of course there are a wide range of mostly existing technologies that you could use for this. We have pumped hydro, geothermal, off shore wind, and a few other things. Just to name a few things that we are already doing at large scale. And especially offshore wind sure is coming online a lot faster and at a much larger scale than nuclear in recent years. And a lot cheaper.
Add to that storage systems, of which there are a wide variety being field tested right now, and the picture gets even better. It's not at all clear that renewables plus that would not be enough.
The premise that nuclear is the only option doesn't really add up. It's wishful thinking by people that have a hammer and are looking for nails to wack with it. At the current cost level nuclear is not an option at all. The report acknowledges as much. We could do it technically but it's a bit of a hassle and would consume a lot of tax payer money (forget about doing this profitably without that). It's a lot cheaper and easier to get the necessary capacity with cheaper technology.
The notion that it is impossible to do this without nuclear and that we don't know how to do this, etc. is simply not based in reality. We have plenty of promising things. Specify how much you need and then it just becomes an engineering challenge. You can start planning and budgeting for it and get it done.
Maybe nuclear will be part of this. But probably not at the current cost level. It will have to come down a lot. But the new type of nuclear that will have that cost level is as of yet unproven technology. There are some companies working on this of course. But they have a lot to prove still.