My opinion is towards the end of this decade. Hardware is mostly there - the collection of actuators, metal bits, batteries, cameras and inference chips means y

My opinion is towards the end of this decade. Hardware is mostly there - the collection of actuators, metal bits, batteries, cameras and inference chips means you can probably build this today at scale for the price of mid-range car, but of course it wouldn't do anything useful. But given the rate of progress in AI over the last few years and the increasing rate of investment in the field, I'd be shocked if another 6 years of progress would amount to nothing.