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> What's the back of the envelope on whether the 737 Max is more dangerous than driving? Driving is an absurdly dangerous mode of transportation, so it’s proba
by knowledge-clay 3y ago
> What's the back of the envelope on whether the 737 Max is more dangerous than driving?
Driving is an absurdly dangerous mode of transportation, so it’s probably not the best comparison.
- jessriedel 3y agoIt's the one most Americans use everyday, so it tells us about the risks that most people find accessible for the benefit they get.
- knowledge-clay 3y agoPerhaps on an individual level, but on a policy level, it makes sense that the safety standards for flying are higher for flying than for driving.
- jessriedel 3y agoI sort of agree. There is some cost-safety trade-off curve, and it's almost certainly true that you can get more safety for less cost/hassle on airplanes (or any large-group travel) than private cars. So in that sense, yes, the optimal amount of safety will be higher for planes. However, I think we should still respect individual preferences for safety in the sense that public transit should try and make the trade-offs individuals would make according to their values. In practice that means trying to estimate the value individuals put on safety through their revealed preferences, with cars being a key example. Although there are some choices the FAA makes here that a smart, on some other choices I think they impose hassles on passengers that aren't remotely justified by the safety benefit, e.g., mandatory seat belt use.