Wrong wrong wrong There is ZERO chance the US will start WW3 over Taiwan. Absolutely no chance. There are a number of reasons, first and foremost, the US woul

Wrong wrong wrong There is ZERO chance the US will start WW3 over Taiwan. Absolutely no chance. There are a number of reasons, first and foremost, the US would likely lose. The US and China have only had one military encounter in recent history - Chosin Reservoir during the Korean War. It may be the worst ass-kicking the US has ever received. Maybe the only time I can recall that the US military broke unit cohesion...meaning men were running for their lives. Of course Chinese losses were also crazy, but all that matters is who wins. Its crazy how not a single blogger on this topic seems to reference Chosin (those who do not know history are doomed to repeat it...) In a present-context, this is in China's backyard. If they are ready to accept losses, it is almost impossible to win against a near-peer adversary with supply lines so much in their favor. Lastly...Americans simply do not care that much about Taiwan. All it would take is one US carrier sunk and the public would want out. Lots of bloggers like to hand-wave about the essential links between the US and Taiwanese economies but no one would care when 10k body bags are being brought back to the US This is how it ends: the Chinese agree to be hands-off with Taiwan for 99 years in exchange for free-trade access to US auto markets. Washington will approve and within ten years we are all driving BYD cars that cost $25k. Also, the comments on Noah's site are insane...people talking about giving Taiwan nukes (actually insane, I don't want my children incinerated just to protect TSMC)...re-instituting the draft (will never happen and would destroy whatever government tried to push it)...