Nope, "until the 1-2 maintainers lose interest" is a specific cause of project death, not a general observation that the risk is LOWER. Just like "a 40 years pr

Nope, "until the 1-2 maintainers lose interest" is a specific cause of project death, not a general observation that the risk is LOWER. Just like "a 40 years project dies because the 1-2 maintainers retire" is a cause of death for old projects would also be a similar risk, but just as useless for comparison. No need to try to fit everything into some simplistic theory as though it's a Procrustean bed > Many useful tools are "just theories" As are many harmful tools, and you haven't demonstrated that the Lindy law is useful