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> so 4% is probably the best they're ever going to do Why would you say that? Take a look at the trend plot shown at the link. The trend started increasing m
by MegaDeKay 3y ago
> so 4% is probably the best they're ever going to do
Why would you say that? Take a look at the trend plot shown at the link. The trend started increasing markedly about two years ago. I wouldn't think it would suddenly flatline. At least I hope it doesn't.
- oblio 3y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm > with a particular focus on the "chasm" or adoption gap that lies between early and mainstream markets. > The author argues there is a chasm between the early adopters of the product (the technology enthusiasts and visionaries) and the early majority (the pragmatists) Early adopters are a small minority, it's hard to give exact numbers but 5% sounds about right. It's MUCH harder to get the pragmatists, late adopters, etc to use a new product. It generally requires a revolutionary product or brilliant PR and marketing (Linux doesn't really have PR and marketing and revolutionary would be a strong term for a product that's been in the market 30+ years).
- freedomben 3y agoFiguring out where the chasm is can be tricky though. If we're going to see S-curve adoption, we might be at the beginning of a rocket (maybe a small one a la crossing the chasm), but it's hard to say. I think as market share goes up, there's going to be more polished product providers offering linux (liek Steam OS), and that's going to make it very reachable to the pragmatists.
- ParetoOptimal 3y agoI'm almost certain steam deck has at least grabbed some pragmatists.