> To be fair, the Lindy effect does imply that it's less likely for a decades old project to die soon than a newer one. True, but doesn't that imply its oppos

> To be fair, the Lindy effect does imply that it's less likely for a decades old project to die soon than a newer one. True, but doesn't that imply its opposite as well? A decade old project will probably die sooner than later, because 11+ year projects are rarer than 10 year ones. The Lindy effect can only be observed in comparison to something else, not to deduct how long a single project in and of itself will last. Which means, coreutils will probably last longer than this one, because it's been around 33 years vs 10.