A yearly prediction thread might be fun, it'll be cool to look back on it and see if anyone was right about major events. Personally I'm hoping that in 2024 we'

A yearly prediction thread might be fun, it'll be cool to look back on it and see if anyone was right about major events. Personally I'm hoping that in 2024 we'll achieve AGI and have a robust definition of what that means. Maybe I'm just a little bit too ambitious though. I was hoping that we'd get there in 2023 but progress seems to have stalled more than I had expected.