Another field that meticulously tracks their forecasting performance are meteorologists. Jokes about them aside, they do a smashing job of something really hard

Another field that meticulously tracks their forecasting performance are meteorologists. Jokes about them aside, they do a smashing job of something really hard. Also we are some hobbyist predictors who try our abilities out on all sorts of questions at metaculus.com. Highly recommend to get a sense of how good some people are at prediction.