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We don't have statistics on the number of crimes committed. We have FBI statistics which are statistics on the number of crimes that local law enforcement agenc

We don't have statistics on the number of crimes committed. We have FBI statistics which are statistics on the number of crimes that local law enforcement agencies reported to the FBI. Not all crimes are reported to law enforcement, not all law enforcement agencies report to the FBI, and not all crimes reported to law enforcement agencies that do report to the FBI are included in their reports. We also have surveys of the public asking if they have been a victim of crime, for example the National Crime Victimization Survey. According to the FBI statistics, crime is down recently, according to the victimization survey, crime is up recently (both say that crime is down since the 1990's). According to the victimization survey, the majority of crimes are not reported to law enforcement. From the 2022 victimization survey summary, https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/criminal-victimization-2022 https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/criminal-victimizat...: "The violent victimization rate increased from 16.5 victimizations per 1,000 persons in 2021 to 23.5 per 1,000 in 2022. From 1993 to 2022, the overall rate of violent victimization declined from 79.8 to 23.5 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. In 2022, about 2 in 5 (42%) violent victimizations were reported to police. Motor vehicle theft victimization increased from a rate of 4.3 victimizations per 1,000 households in 2021 to 5.5 per 1,000 in 2022." So whether you believe crime is up or down is going to depend on what data you choose to believe. In the victimization survey data, crime is slightly down recently in rural areas, about the same in suburban areas, and up by a large amount in urban areas. According to my security cameras, crime in my neighborhood is down this year, but still at a much higher level than 2019.

oooyay 3y ago
Thanks for this detailed breakdown. I didn't know they published a victimization survey.
pc86 3y ago
This is about property crime, not violent crime, so conflating the two is probably not particularly useful, but I can see why you chose that as it shows your point a little easier. But let's look at property crime at https://ncvs.bjs.ojp.gov/quick-graphics#quickgraphicstop https://ncvs.bjs.ojp.gov/quick-graphics#quickgraphicstop: Down almost every year, and with the exception of 2010-2012 every year it increased it decreased the following year. The trend is clearly down every year with the occasional increase for one year.
- rufus_foreman 3y ago
  According to the victimization survey, "Households in the United States experienced 13.4 million property victimizations in 2022, up from 11.7 million in 2021". Similar to the violent crime statistics, it was flat in rural and suburban areas, up in urban areas.

oooyay 3y ago

Thanks for this detailed breakdown. I didn't know they published a victimization survey.

pc86 3y ago

This is about property crime, not violent crime, so conflating the two is probably not particularly useful, but I can see why you chose that as it shows your point a little easier. But let's look at property crime at https://ncvs.bjs.ojp.gov/quick-graphics#quickgraphicstop https://ncvs.bjs.ojp.gov/quick-graphics#quickgraphicstop: Down almost every year, and with the exception of 2010-2012 every year it increased it decreased the following year. The trend is clearly down every year with the occasional increase for one year.

rufus_foreman 3y ago
According to the victimization survey, "Households in the United States experienced 13.4 million property victimizations in 2022, up from 11.7 million in 2021". Similar to the violent crime statistics, it was flat in rural and suburban areas, up in urban areas.