5 ms·
Ran across an interesting observation a little while ago that while homicides—deaths—have been dropping, that doesn't necessarily mean that 'the streets' have g
by throw0101b 3y ago
Ran across an interesting observation a little while ago that while homicides—deaths—have been dropping, that doesn't necessarily mean that 'the streets' have gotten safer:
> That's how good trauma surgeons are now. They're looking for solutions [to gun deaths] outside the hospital.
> Now, think about the implications of that in a place like Washington, DC. In the last 30 years, the number of homicides in Washington in a typical year has been cut in half. People look at that statistic and say, "Oh, the city's gotten a lot safer." But isn't some part of that decline simply that Eddie Cornwell and Mallory Williams and all the other trauma surgeons of Washington, DC are now saving lives that were once lost?
> A city's murder rate is not a measure of the number of people victimized by potentially lethal violence. No. It's a measure of the number of people victimized by potentially lethal violence minus how good a job doctors do at saving that person's life once they get to the hospital.
* https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/revisionist-history/guns-part-4-moral-hazard https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/revisionist-history/guns-par...
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pl7c_O_XtfU&t=12m27s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pl7c_O_XtfU&t=12m27s [audio-only]
Statistics on non-fatal shootings are not reported on / examined as much:
* https://centerforimprovinginvestigations.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/NFS-Article-Huebner-and-Hipple-July-2018-NRTAC.pdf https://centerforimprovinginvestigations.org/wp-content/uplo...
- adrr 3y agohttps://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/quarterly https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crim... Cities are safer. Violent crime is down and property crime continues to drop.
- Gibbon1 3y agoI also have a feel that how random crime is depends on type and varies from place to place. Some places it's mostly personal and others not as much. So personal risk doesn't necessarily track averages. Could be significantly lower or maybe higher. I think in San Francisco violent crime tends to be personal and someone stealing your bike isn't. Where the east bay I feel is more dangerous for someone just going about their business.