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Mearsheimer has a great track record: "John Mearsheimer is one who foresaw the very real possibility of a war against Ukraine. I think he is quite wrong about

Mearsheimer has a great track record: "John Mearsheimer is one who foresaw the very real possibility of a war against Ukraine. I think he is quite wrong about NATO as the provocation, but if you are grading him on predictions alone obviously he wins some serious kudos." Mearsheimer is my go to expert for international relations. He is a scientist where many people are pundits and propagandists. https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/05/how-did-the-ir-community-get-russia-ukraine-so-wrong.html https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/05/ho...

astrange 3y ago
I hesitate to accept Tyler Cowen as a source for anything. He's similarly a type of public intellectual where everyone else goes "well he's wrong about this but he's very smart" and then you count that up and realize he's never actually right about anything. (And he runs an economics blog where all the commenters are anti-immigration racists, about the most economically senseless thing you can be.) An example of other people right there would be a war on Ukraine was US intelligence, which is why we started that deterrence strategy where Biden gave speeches saying what Russia was about to do the week before they did it. It does not include Mearsheimer getting all the details wrong, making up an excuse about NATO even Putin doesn't believe, and predicting Russia would instantly win or else that resisting would lead to nuclear war. For other highlights, Mearsheimer thinks Japan didn't want to invade China in 1937 and Chiang Kai-Shek provoked them! Realism is just victim blaming. https://x.com/grxsb250/status/1740542486010122596 https://x.com/grxsb250/status/1740542486010122596 …also, sounds like his books are sponsored by Putin now via Valdai. https://x.com/jkleinschmidtir/status/1731773670207455316 https://x.com/jkleinschmidtir/status/1731773670207455316
- hackandthink 3y ago
  Tyler Cowen writes and says all sorts of things, sometimes even sheer nonsense. But the post about the IR community asks good questions. In view of the current catastrophe, one can ask oneself whether mistakes were made, whether full speed ahead was the right strategy for NATO and Ukraine.
  - astrange 3y ago
    NATO doesn't have anything to do with Ukraine. Ukraine was never going to be allowed into NATO before this. Putin and Russians don't actually care about this - they want Ukraine's farmland back and hate their people for being ungrateful and pretending not to be Russian. (If Russia really cared about NATO on their border they wouldn't have started a war that caused Finland to join it.)

astrange 3y ago

I hesitate to accept Tyler Cowen as a source for anything. He's similarly a type of public intellectual where everyone else goes "well he's wrong about this but he's very smart" and then you count that up and realize he's never actually right about anything. (And he runs an economics blog where all the commenters are anti-immigration racists, about the most economically senseless thing you can be.) An example of other people right there would be a war on Ukraine was US intelligence, which is why we started that deterrence strategy where Biden gave speeches saying what Russia was about to do the week before they did it. It does not include Mearsheimer getting all the details wrong, making up an excuse about NATO even Putin doesn't believe, and predicting Russia would instantly win or else that resisting would lead to nuclear war. For other highlights, Mearsheimer thinks Japan didn't want to invade China in 1937 and Chiang Kai-Shek provoked them! Realism is just victim blaming. https://x.com/grxsb250/status/1740542486010122596 https://x.com/grxsb250/status/1740542486010122596 …also, sounds like his books are sponsored by Putin now via Valdai. https://x.com/jkleinschmidtir/status/1731773670207455316 https://x.com/jkleinschmidtir/status/1731773670207455316

hackandthink 3y ago
Tyler Cowen writes and says all sorts of things, sometimes even sheer nonsense. But the post about the IR community asks good questions. In view of the current catastrophe, one can ask oneself whether mistakes were made, whether full speed ahead was the right strategy for NATO and Ukraine.
- astrange 3y ago
  NATO doesn't have anything to do with Ukraine. Ukraine was never going to be allowed into NATO before this. Putin and Russians don't actually care about this - they want Ukraine's farmland back and hate their people for being ungrateful and pretending not to be Russian. (If Russia really cared about NATO on their border they wouldn't have started a war that caused Finland to join it.)