Note that there is no way to answer the question “what’s the probability of X conditional on the data observed” without taking into account “what was the probab

Note that there is no way to answer the question “what’s the probability of X conditional on the data observed” without taking into account “what was the probability of X before that observation”. The thing with non-Bayesian analysis is that they don’t answer at all the question “what’s the probability of X conditional on the data observed”.