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I’m not seeing this cycle for phones. For example.The most popular web browser, by far, is chrome from android. (according to caniuse) This was not the case be

by dartos 3y ago

I’m not seeing this cycle for phones. For example.The most popular web browser, by far, is chrome from android. (according to caniuse) This was not the case before the iPhone. Accessing the internet on the go is a game changing feature. People use their phones every single day for a variety of tasks. Phones had their hype phase (the whole there’s an app for that phase), but obviously they’re here to stay. I think LLMs will be similar. Unlike VR, which never hit that critical mass.

diggan 3y ago
> For example.The most popular web browser, by far, is chrome from android. (according to caniuse) This was not the case before the iPhone. Accessing the internet on the go is a game changing feature. I was talking about entire categories of products, or industries/sectors/niches, rather than competitors within one industry. > Phones had their hype phase (the whole there’s an app for that phase), but obviously they’re here to stay. Yes, but at one point everything was trying to be an app on the smartphone, while now it's been dialed back instead. And they're here to stay, just like VR is here to stay, just within the niches it has found. Which may or may not expand in the future depending on capabilities/availability of experiences.
- dartos 3y ago
  There’s some miscommunication here, sorry. I’m saying that smart phones are pervasive in the daily life of at least a billion people. I think that LLMs will eventually reach those numbers even after the hype phase ends. I think this based on the accessibility, utility, and ease of use of them. I think the growth of LLM products is a kind of indicator for this. I don’t think VR will ever get to that scale. I don’t think Vr will disappear, but it’ll never see the same scale of usage. I think this because of the physical and economic barriers to using VR and the fact that people generally don’t like having things strapped in front of their eyes. I’m not really sure what you’re trying to say.

by dartos 3y ago

diggan 3y ago

> For example.The most popular web browser, by far, is chrome from android. (according to caniuse) This was not the case before the iPhone. Accessing the internet on the go is a game changing feature. I was talking about entire categories of products, or industries/sectors/niches, rather than competitors within one industry. > Phones had their hype phase (the whole there’s an app for that phase), but obviously they’re here to stay. Yes, but at one point everything was trying to be an app on the smartphone, while now it's been dialed back instead. And they're here to stay, just like VR is here to stay, just within the niches it has found. Which may or may not expand in the future depending on capabilities/availability of experiences.

dartos 3y ago
There’s some miscommunication here, sorry. I’m saying that smart phones are pervasive in the daily life of at least a billion people. I think that LLMs will eventually reach those numbers even after the hype phase ends. I think this based on the accessibility, utility, and ease of use of them. I think the growth of LLM products is a kind of indicator for this. I don’t think VR will ever get to that scale. I don’t think Vr will disappear, but it’ll never see the same scale of usage. I think this because of the physical and economic barriers to using VR and the fact that people generally don’t like having things strapped in front of their eyes. I’m not really sure what you’re trying to say.