3 ms·
You could have said the same thing about the first cases of sending electronic mail. But once that ball got rolling it didn’t take long for e-mail to take over
by audunw 3y ago
You could have said the same thing about the first cases of sending electronic mail. But once that ball got rolling it didn’t take long for e-mail to take over the world.
We’ve already gotten to the point where over-construction of renewables and energy storage to scale to peak seasonal demand is the cheapest way to get energy. The only barrier to get there now is we don’t have the production capacity to transition faster.
It’s now basically inevitable that renewables will result in energy too cheap to meter most parts of the year in most places. It’s just a matter of time to build it.
Check Tony Sebas recent presentation on The Great Transformation. If you want more practical/empirical details you can check Mark Z Jacobsens studies.
It’s kind of funny that people are now saying that solar is “only” providing 10% of electricity or whatever it may be in a given region. Just a decade or two ago people like Tony Seba was thought to be crazy for predicting that solar would reach this point this fast.
Look at any instance of technology transitions “logistics curves” (“S-curve”). When you get to past the 10% point the new technologies take over incredibly quickly.