Why 2014 and 2022 and not 1991 and 2022? Or 2020 and 2022? Other than one confirms your prior and the other two refute it? And regardless, the fact that the

Why 2014 and 2022 and not 1991 and 2022? Or 2020 and 2022? Other than one confirms your prior and the other two refute it? And regardless, the fact that the first derivative is negative clearly makes "crime is going up" a lie. Crime is going DOWN right now, as measured. You need to be more specific: "Crime over the past 9 years is going up" would be true (but again, not if you replace 9 with 2 or 30!).