4 ms·
Nobody cares that it dropped in 2023. We care that it's worse than a decade ago, which it is. We hit a local minimum of 4.4 murders per 100k in 2014. It was 6.3
by grumple 3y ago
Nobody cares that it dropped in 2023. We care that it's worse than a decade ago, which it is. We hit a local minimum of 4.4 murders per 100k in 2014. It was 6.3 in 2022. That's a big difference.
Property crime goes unreported. It's not worth the trouble. I've had a dozen packages stolen, for example. My apartment building had 30 bikes stolen and hundreds more packages stolen. None of these will show up in the statistics. I have friends that have been carjacked or witnessed carjacking. Carjacking numbers are way up in my city compared to 10 years ago. Murders hit a low of 246 for us in 2013. The last 3 years were 499, 562, and 516, and they now cook the books by not counting suspicious deaths. We're down this year, which is great, but the past 5 years have been bloody as hell.
Major crimes dropping 8% from recent local maxima is not an achievement and doesn't mean people's perceptions of rising crime are incorrect. The past single year's delta alone is just not super relevant.